Download the fantastic book titled The Black Swan written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, available in its entirety in both PDF and EPUB formats for online reading. This page includes a concise summary, a preview of the book cover, and detailed information about "The Black Swan", which was released on 13 October 2009. We suggest perusing the summary before initiating your download. This book is a top selection for enthusiasts of the Forecasting genre.
Summary of The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb PDF
In the author's point of view, a black swan is an improbable event with three principal characteristics - It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'.
Detail About The Black Swan PDF
- Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Publisher : Random House Digital, Inc.
- Genre : Forecasting
- Total Pages : 388 pages
- ISBN : 0812979184
- Release Date : 13 October 2009
- PDF File Size : 12,7 Mb
- Language : English
- Rating : 4.5/5 from 12 reviews
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