Download the fantastic book titled Experts in Uncertainty written by Roger M. Cooke, available in its entirety in both PDF and EPUB formats for online reading. This page includes a concise summary, a preview of the book cover, and detailed information about "Experts in Uncertainty", which was released on 24 October 1991. We suggest perusing the summary before initiating your download. This book is a top selection for enthusiasts of the Science genre.
Summary of Experts in Uncertainty by Roger M. Cooke PDF
This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence. Cooke here considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematic foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models, termed "classical," "Bayesian," and "psychological scaling." Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.
Detail About Experts in Uncertainty PDF
- Author : Roger M. Cooke
- Publisher : Oxford University Press
- Genre : Science
- Total Pages : 334 pages
- ISBN : 0195362373
- Release Date : 24 October 1991
- PDF File Size : 11,5 Mb
- Language : English
- Rating : 4/5 from 21 reviews
Clicking on the GET BOOK button will initiate the downloading process of Experts in Uncertainty by Roger M. Cooke. This book is available in ePub and PDF format with a single click unlimited downloads.
